Will it be hot in summer? Cold summer 2017: what is happening with the weather in the Moscow region 

This year you shouldn’t expect a hot summer, Evgeny Tishkovets, leading employee of the Phobos weather center, told RT. According to him, on Sunday, July 2, rainy and cloudy weather will set in. The reason for this lies in the cyclonic depression.

“In Moscow today it will be cloudy, cool and very rainy. During the day, the situation will be caused by a cyclonic depression, consisting of two powerful nuclei connected by a frontal system,” Tishkovets explained in his interview with the publication.

It is expected that on July 2 the level of precipitation will be a third of the monthly norm, and the thermometers will drop to the May temperature norm.

“Thermometer readings will be 5°C lower than expected by the climate at the top of the summer. In Moscow the air temperature will reach +17...19°C, and in the Moscow region no higher than +15...20°C. Atmosphere pressure will increase slightly - up to 737 mm mercury", the expert warned.

The Hydrometeorological Center of Russia announced a yellow level of danger in Moscow for July 2 due to wind and rain. Wind gusts are expected to reach 12-17 m/s. The yellow alert level will be in effect throughout the Central Federal District. The Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations strongly recommended that residents of the capital be careful and, if possible, not go out.

“According to the Federal State Budgetary Institution “Central UGMS”, in the next hour, continuing until the end of the current day on July 2, 2017, rain, heavy in places, and thunderstorms are expected in Moscow, with wind gusts of up to 12-17 m/s during a thunderstorm,” the department reported.

Tishkovets noted that there will be no positive changes next week - Muscovites should also expect cloudy weather on Monday. The leading Phobos employee emphasized that there will be no good weather this summer not only in the capital, but also in other Russian regions.

“In my opinion, there will be no summer in Central Russia,” Tishkovets expressed his opinion.

The expert stated that swimming season It's unlikely to open this year.

“The summer will be crumpled, I’m not sure that we will be able to open the swimming season at such temperatures. Only if they are brave,” says Tishkovets.

This position is shared by his colleague, who heads the Climate and Energy program of the World Fund. wildlife— Alexey Kokorin. In his conversation with RT correspondents, Kokorin explained that the reason for the drop in air temperature is the evaporation of excess moisture accumulated in the soil.

“There must be something completely extraordinary, like a movement air masses in the summer of 2010. But this is very unlikely. Therefore, indeed, most likely

You should not expect a long period of intense heat above 30°C. But it could still be +25...28°C,” Kokorin reassured.

He noted that the increase in the number of natural anomalies observed in Lately, caused, in particular, by the anthropogenic trend. This means that changes in the dynamics of air masses are currently largely due to the strengthening of the greenhouse effect.

On Friday, June 30, a powerful storm and rain occurred in the capital, breaking the June weather record in the entire history of observations. On the last day of the past month, 84% of the monthly precipitation (65 mm) fell in Moscow. Before maximum amount precipitation on June 30 was recorded back in 1923 and amounted to only 22.3 mm, while greatest number precipitation for a June day was previously recorded in 1970 (62.5 mm). In addition, the first summer month of this year beat and temperature record, becoming the coldest in the last 14 years.

“The end of June 2017 became the second wettest in the history of observations at the VDNKh weather station,” representatives of the Russian Hydrometeorological Center reported, commenting on the bad weather that hit the capital on June 30.

Friday's hurricane did not remain without consequences - as a result of the storm in Moscow, two people died and nine more were injured.

More than a thousand trees were knocked down in the Russian capital.

Published 07/06/17 10:10

The Hydrometeorological Center and the Ministry of Emergency Situations announced the weather forecast for July-August 2017 in Moscow and Central Russia.

What will the second half of summer 2017 be like according to weather forecasters?

In 2017, the second half of summer will be moderately warm. The Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia told Izvestia that this month in Central Russia we should again expect heavy rains and squally gusts of wind. At the same time, in the south of Siberia and in the southern regions Far East Fires are possible - dry and hot weather is forecast there.

Head of the Department for organizing public information of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia Alexey Vagutovich intkbbach reminded that in the last few months there have been many natural disasters. Moreover, what was previously an anomaly for some regions is now becoming the norm: a large number of precipitation, record minimum and maximum temperatures.

In such conditions, the Ministry of Emergency Situations had to reconsider the system of informing the population about possible disasters - social networks began to be used more.

In the summer of 2017, Moscow will experience tornadoes and hurricanes

According to the director of the Hydrometeorological Center Roman Vilfand, in the summer dangerous phenomena observed five to six times more often than in winter. Vertical vortex structures - tornadoes - are extremely rare in our country, and he did not rule them out in the near future. According to Vilfand, in July you can expect hail, heavy rain, squally winds, and thunderstorms.

The problem is that many natural disasters it is impossible to predict in advance - this can be done in a day, and most often in several hours or even in several tens of minutes. Main recommendation, which Roman Vilfand gave to the residents of Russia, is to monitor weather forecasts very carefully in the summer.

In turn, leading researcher at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Geography, Moscow State University, Mikhail Lokoshchenko, advises residents central Russia Do not put warm clothes and heaters far away. According to him, the summer will no longer be hot.

The prolonged weather anomaly, according to scientists, is associated with a long and persistent blocking anticyclone over Central Europe. Cold air masses were constantly carried into the area of ​​the Russian Plain, which was located above its eastern periphery.

The hydrometeorological center spoke in detail about the anomalies of June 2017 in Moscow and the regions of Russia

According to operational climate monitoring carried out at the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, for the second month in a row (May and June) in the European territory of Russia (ER) from Barents Sea up to the Lower Volga it was abnormal cold weather. The end of spring and beginning of summer turned out to be the coldest here since 1994, and last June was the 2nd coldest in the 21st century, according to the Hydrometeorological Center website.

The opposite picture took place in Siberia, in the east of the Urals and in the west of Yakutia. It was hot here in June. Thermometers remained in the range of +25…+35 ° C for most of the month, and on some days reached +40 ° C. Average monthly temperatures in this region exceeded the norm by 2-5 ° C.

On average, the monthly air temperature was below normal not only in European Russia, but also in Scandinavia, India, eastern China and a significant part of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Average air temperature in June Northern Hemisphere Earth has rank 3-5 among the most high values, second in this indicator only to June 2016 and 2015.

Snow in early June shocked residents of the Moscow region; people are seriously worried that the cold weather will ruin their plans for the summer. Forecasters promise that extreme weather will continue this summer, but there will still be heat. A RIAMO correspondent found out what the weather will be like in June, July and August.

Summer in pink

The weather this summer has not been kind to Muscovites so far - sometimes a hurricane, sometimes snowfall, and the air temperature is still below normal. But weather forecasters promise that there is no need to be upset. Extended periods of cold, rainy, and inclement weather are not expected.

At least, the director of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, Roman Vilfand, is inclined to see the forecast for the summer “in pink.”

“In our forecast maps we indicate the temperature regime of different color scheme, in particular, pink- when the temperature is slightly higher or close to normal, red - if it is significantly higher than normal. Everything is pink now,” Vilfand said.

As an analysis of the climate center of Roshydromet shows, summer is becoming warmer. According to meteorologists, from 2011 to 2031 average temperature in the Central Federal District it will rise by 1.5 degrees.

At the same time, the weather will become more unstable and extreme, with sudden changes.

“This summer, not only in the European, but also in the Asian territory of Russia, an increased frequency of phenomena and processes is predicted that will lead to extreme, significant deviations from the norm,” Vilfand noted.

He clarified that very dry days will alternate with downpours, and the thermometer will be either hot or cold.

While this summer's weather is forecast to be generally less rainy than last year, that doesn't mean there won't be much rainfall. If 2016 was generous with precipitation, now the amount will return to normal.

Folk signs so far confirm the current weather situation. The early arrival of spring means a bad summer, and this year warming arrived in Moscow at the very beginning of March. If it was cold on Sidor (May 27) and Pachomius (May 28), then the whole summer will be like that. This year, on May 27 and 28, the temperature did not rise above 19 degrees. People also believed that the earlier the bird cherry blossomed, the hotter the summer was expected. This year, due to the cold weather, the bird cherry harvest was late.

Contrasting June

Forecasters give the most accurate forecast for June. And for now it’s difficult to call it “pink”. According to the Hydrometeorological Center, by the weekend of June 3 and 4, temperatures are expected to be around 9-12 degrees during the daytime, and even lower at night.

Nature will change its wrath to mercy early next week, when the air warms up to 23 degrees. This weather will continue until the end of the month. The Hydrometeorological Center does not predict heavy rain.

A similar forecast is given by the Yandex. Weather: up to plus 17 degrees on the weekend, up to 22 degrees at the beginning of the week and heavy rain. It will become clear only by June 9.

The forecast given by Gismeteo experts is far from being such a warming one. They threaten big amount cloudy days, showers and thunderstorms, and in general they promise a contrasting month with temperature changes from 14 to 26 degrees.

Cold June promises and folk calendar: if there were frosts in May, expect another 40 morning frosts in the summer.

Statistically, June is considered the coldest of the summer months. The average daily temperature is about 21 degrees. The coldest years in the history of meteorological observations are considered to be 1881, 1899 and 1916, when thermometers showed minus 2 degrees in June. One of the hottest summers was 2010, when the air warmed up to 34 degrees.

Sultry July

An accurate forecast can be made for one or two, maximum three days, says weather forecaster engineer Irina Vlasenko. That's why detailed forecast not available for July yet.

“If the accuracy of forecasts for the coming days is around 90%, then for long-term forecasts it is no more than 70-80%. In a few weeks and months, it is almost impossible to predict how cyclones, anticyclones, and atmospheric fronts will behave. It is impossible to calculate where the cyclone will have the strongest stage of development,” explains Vlasenko.

Long-range forecasts are made by numerical meteorologists. They use special equations and also compare performance from previous years.

“When we talk about long-term forecasts, average values ​​do not describe the dynamics weather phenomena within a month or season,” notes Vilfand.

According to the forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center, the central month of summer in 2017 will be absolutely “normal”. Deviations from temperature norms and excess precipitation are not expected.

In Moscow and the region, July is traditionally the hottest month of the year. On average, the temperature remains at 24 degrees.

According to the Yandex. Weather,” which is based on statistical data over the past seven years, the thermometers this month rarely fell below plus 23 during the day, but mostly tended to 30 degrees. The July heat will not be sweltering; temperatures will remain at comfortable levels most of the time.

According to weather observation statistics, the coldest day in Moscow was July 2, 1886. Then it was only plus 1 outside the window. There are many more hot years, but the record holder is 2010, remembered for smog, when the temperature reached 38 degrees in the shade.

“It’s pouring like buckets” - this is not about autumn, but about July. The heat does not prevent it from being the rainiest month of the year. According to weather forecasters, it is in the middle of summer that up to 90 millimeters of precipitation falls - this is 10% of the annual norm, or 5-6 days of continuous rain.

Folk omens, however, foretell dry summer. If it rained on May 24 (Mokey Mokry), then the summer will be rainy, and on May 24 there was no precipitation in Moscow. Folk omens also promise that if it rains on July 3, the whole month will be generous with precipitation.

Cooling August

The last month of summer does not hold any weather surprises. At least this is evidenced by the long-term forecast.

“Precipitation deficit is expected in the south of the Central and west of the Southern federal districts,” reports Roshydromet. But the anomaly most likely will not reach Moscow and the region.

As meteorological observations show, the weather in the first half of August is usually not much different from July. Daytime air temperature is 24-25 degrees. In the second half of the month, the approach of autumn already makes itself felt: the thermometer drops up to 10 degrees in a matter of days, heavy rains and cold winds arrive.

The Hydrometeorological Center emphasizes that we're talking about about averages. The weather of a particular day and week is affected by many variables. Human intervention is a major factor that may cause long-term prognosis to fall short.

“We see interference in the atmosphere all the time. In Moscow, on May 9, the clouds disperse, and somewhere in another city these clouds come to the weather forecaster, which he does not expect at all,” emphasizes Vlasenko.

The weather is also affected by forming cyclones and anticyclones. Atmospheric fronts can appear and disappear in a few days, and it is impossible to predict such phenomena two months in advance.

The cold summer of 1885 was unique in the history of meteorological observations. Then on August 31st there were frosts. At the upper limits of temperature is the anomalous year 2010, when the heat was 37 degrees for several days in a row.

People believed that a dry and cold February was a harbinger of a hot August. February 2017 did not experience any frosts, so if you believe the signs, you should not expect scorching sun in the last month of summer. It is also believed that if on August 14 it's raining, then the end of summer will be rainy.

Forecasters from the Hydrometeorological Center predict with a probability of 69-72% that in most of Russia until September 2017, the temperature regime will be close to the long-term average values ​​and even higher

According to RIAMO
Photo, website otzyv.ru

It’s amazing to watch the seasons change every year. It would seem that there were only frosts and winter, but already the buds on the trees were blooming. According to forecasts, the weather forecaster already knows what summer 2017 will be like in Moscow. What should residents of the capital expect: sweltering heat or wonderful coolness?

Of course you do accurate forecasts so much long time Even the best specialists in this field do not undertake it. Because while long-term climate change can be predicted with accuracy, the weather can vary depending on very different conditions. Accurate forecasts can be obtained almost every day. However, the Hydrometeorological Center takes into account different indicators and, as a result, can give more or less accurate forecasts for the summer already in the middle of winter.

Needless to say, summer is the favorite time of many people. This is the summer season, this is vacation, these are holidays and just warm evenings after work, which are nice to spend on fresh air in pleasant company. But you can only be in the fresh air in summer in Moscow if it is not raining or, conversely, it is not too hot that there is smog. Therefore, Muscovites are waiting for what the weather forecasters will please: without heavy rains, but also without heat. What will the weather be like?

Moscow weather in June 2017

In the first month of summer, the temperature norm will be within its usual limits of about 18 degrees Celsius. In the first days of June it will be quite cool and even possible rain. But then it will gradually become warmer and, after heavy showers and thunderstorms, pleasant sunny weather will set in. The weather will begin to improve around the middle of the month, at which time, according to weather forecasters, strong summer winds should subside.

That is, already at the end of June Moscow will enter a pleasant summer time. On this moment All forecasts show that the weather will be as pleasant as possible both for walking around the city and for going on a picnic.

Moscow weather for July 2017

Most often, it is the second month of summer that brings the most surprises to Muscovites and guests of the capital. Because it gets very hot and in Rus', from time immemorial, July was considered the hottest month of the year. This can be seen even according to folk signs. This year it will also be sultry and hot, so perhaps trips to the sea or even just a vacation at the dacha are best planned for July.

As for the average temperature regime for this part of the summer of 2017, while weather forecasters are leaning towards 33 degrees Celsius during the day, for a large city of many millions this is, of course, a strong test. But this heat will last a maximum of ten days, and then the thermometer will drop to a more or less normal 25 degrees Celsius: the very thing you need in a beautiful red summer, even if we are talking about the city. By the way, July this year will be dry: there are no signs of rain yet. Changes to the program for the current year.

Moscow weather in August 2017

A very hot July will be followed by a calm and confidently warm August. Moreover, while there are all the prerequisites to believe that the end of summer will be rainy, but warm weather will still remain within 25 degrees. At the very end of the month, you can expect surprises from nature in the form of a sharp drop in temperature to 15 degrees Celsius. But still, it should be pleasant and comfortable outside.

Summer in Moscow in 2017 will be great. What kind of summer it will be for each day of the week needs to be looked at closer to specific dates. Because weather forecasters always emphasize that it is possible to more or less predict long-term climate changes, because their fluctuations depend on global processes. But predicting the weather in the long term is a thankless task. A cyclone may suddenly appear, a different wind may blow, which will ultimately lead to a major complete change in the previous forecast.

We must not forget that nature does not have bad weather. This approach should be very close to Muscovites, because due to climatic and environmental factors In recent decades, the weather in the capital has become unpredictable and short term can change dramatically. It's important to find the right approach to every season and every manifestation of nature, to rejoice in every day. It doesn’t matter whether it’s just warm or sultry outside, or maybe there’s a romantic and continuous downpour.

Who doesn't love summer? There are probably few people on earth who prefer snowdrifts or golden leaf fall coupled with torrential rains to the July heat. Summer is time short skirts, rash decisions, beach, sun, relaxation, and real positivity. It is in the summer that most people go on vacation to the seas or to others, no less. wonderful places. But when will that hottest, stickiest summer ever arrive in the near future? More precisely, how many days away is summer in 2017? A special counter-timer can easily give the most accurate answer to these questions. It is thanks to such a modern gadget that you can, without much difficulty or personal time, determine the exact amount of time until the arrival of the sweatiest time of the year.

Basic moments

Thanks to the most common calendar, you can easily find out the exact calendar at any time of the day or night.
the rest of the time until the arrival of summer 2017. By the way, most of those interested in the three hot months of next year also want to know what exactly this time will be like in terms of weather. Usually, using the information received, you can plan your vacation in advance. Today, for better orientation in the matter of weather, it is worth using two proven methods: the forecast of weather forecasters or the ability to check the truth with folk signs. One more thing: don’t forget about the Indian summer 2017 – farewell warm days before the attack cold autumn. When will summer come in Russia in 2017 and what will the weather be like at that time?

If you trust completely long-term forecasts weather forecasters, then summer will be uneven throughout Russia. Simply put, in some areas the arrival of the hot sun can be noted as early as the end of April, while others will not be able to enjoy the summer warmth until July. In the light of such information, a completely logical question arises: when will summer come in Russia?

June 2017

This month next year will turn out to be normal - not too hot. Of course, frosts are unlikely to manifest themselves at the beginning of summer, but even against the backdrop of May, the weather in June will be cooler. True, some of the weather forecasters have already stated more than once that May has become almost in the summer month due to a sharp increase in temperature. The same cannot be said about July 2017. You can go on vacation in June, but it’s better to wait a couple of weeks.

July 2017

The next month of summer will be one of the busiest for a wide variety of events. Which ones? It’s just that until July 1, 2017, the water warms up enough so that you can go to the beach and get your dose of vitamin D, mixed with water treatments. But this statement is more suitable for the southern regions of the Russian Federation, while in the northern regions the temperature in July will not exceed +20 degrees.

If we talk about precipitation, then in the middle of summer there should actually be no rain. By the way, this is one of the main features of Russian July.

August 2017

Since August is considered last month summer, at night the air temperature will drop noticeably, even despite the hot midday. A period of heavy rainfall is also expected, and some places may even experience prolonged downpours. True, in the southern region of Russia August will be dry and simply ideal for an even tan.

From the information provided, we can conclude that the summer of 2017 will be quite warm, dry and hot in places, and rainy and cool in others. But basically, all three months of this time of year should not differ too much from the average summer for each individual region.

Summer 2017 according to folk signs

Despite the ability to accurately predict the weather even over long periods of time, knowledgeable people do not trust 100% the words of the Hydrometeorological Centers. The easiest way to find out everything about the upcoming season is with the help of a variety of folk signs. Thanks to this ancient and time-tested method, it will be possible to say no less accurately what the coming summer should be like. After all, previously there were no weather forecasters and, depending on the behavior of the weather, all sowing and harvesting took place. A lot of signs about any of the seasons have survived to this day, and each of them is special in its own way. It is worth choosing the most common of them to determine the “mood” of summer 2017.

1. If dew settles on the grass in the evening, tomorrow there will be good clear weather without precipitation.

2. If larks, swallows and swifts fly high during the day, the weather is not expected to change in the near future.

3. The leaves of the fern begin to curl downwards - the weather is good; upwards - you should expect bad weather.

4. The flies have become too active, which means the heat and summer heat will come soon.

5. If there are a lot of cobwebs flying in the air, the weather will remain dry and hot for the next few days.

6. The louder the grasshoppers chirp in the evening, the better off they will be. weather the next day.

7. Birch trees release a lot of sap in spring; summer will be cold and rainy.

8. If in the spring the snow on the anthill begins to melt on the southern side, then all three months of summer will be cold, while the northern part indicates a long and warm summer period.

9. If roosters begin to crow loudly during the day and chickens intensively preen their feathers, there will soon be a thunderstorm.

10. If there is lightning but no thunder during a summer thunderstorm, the coming weeks should be accompanied by dry weather.

This is only a small part of those folk signs with which you can determine the weather for any time of the year with a 100% guarantee. Try using them to independently determine the weather for June, July and August 2017. But to find out exactly how many days are left until next year, you can use a regular calendar. Everyone has this on mobile phone. If approximately, then about 11 months. Almost!